Investors Expect Tepid Returns for High-Yield Munis After Stellar Year.

Money managers don’t anticipate another banner year for high-yield municipals, one of the best-performing sectors of US debt in 2023.

Junk muni bonds posted a 9.2% advance for the full year, the most since 2019. Returns were buoyed by a lack of high-yield supply and a widespread market rally starting in November.

The market could look different this year if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and muni issuers rush to borrow. A slowing US economy also doesn’t bode well for a sector that’s largely made up of nursing homes, tobacco bonds and charter schools, said John Flahive, head of fixed income at BNY Mellon Wealth Management.

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Bloomberg Markets

By Maxwell Adler and Amanda Albright

January 5, 2024



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